Simulator 2018 FIFA WorldCup
Set the levels of strength of the teams according to the proposed criteria. Based on your entered data, the percentage of the command exit will be calculated for each next stage.
k - coefficient (percentage of probability) the exit of the command in the previous stage. For the stage "round of 16" previous phase is the group - therefore to calculate the probability of exit in the "round of 16" k and ki = 1 (100%);
Li - level of commands that can be meet at the previous stage
ki - is the coefficient (probability percentage) exit of these commands in the previous stage.
Established levels of teams: Russia-40, Uruguay-30, Egypt-20, Saud. Arabia-10.
The probability of leaving the group will be 40%, 30%, 20% and 10% respectively.
The levels of these teams to calculate the exit to the next stage of "1/4 final" will be 16 (40*40%), 9(30*30%), 4 (20*20%), 1 (10*10%) accordingly